Description: This paper from the Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1964, Vol. 16, Pt. 1, No. 44 AB, reproduces some of Bicknell and Nesbitt's key multiple-decrement theory results by building on a statistical foundation.

Description: In this paper a new method of adjusting probabilities of death for short age interval, based on the assumption of a modification in one of the forces of decrement, is developed.

Description: An increasing need exists for the actuary to provide ranges and frequency distributions of possible values instead of providing only mean values. This discussion will cover: projections of asset experience under various economic scenarios, a practical application of profit analysis using scenarios and a deterministic model, exploring possible values by means of stochastic modeling, and a description of the new life contingencies textbook's stochastic approach and application to some practical population and census problems. From Record of the Society of Actuaries 1981, Volume 7, No. 4.

Description: This paper discusses the Bayesian graduation method of Kimeldorf and Jones and develops methods for managing four technical problems in their method. It also includes a discussion of the paper. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1977, Vol. 29.

Description: The paper discusses the optimal design of dividend - or premium refund - formulas that occur in connection with group insurance contracts. Sample formulas are provided and analyzed from a statistical analysis perspective . Followed by 2 discussion papers submitted

Description: This provides a basic example of a mathematical model which may be used to build an investment portfolio which will minimize the risk of interest rate fluctuations.

Description: The purpose of this paper is to perform conjugate Bayesian analysis on the negative binomial distribution with the goal of providing a standard by which approximate credibility formulas and approximate predictive distriubtion may be judged. From Actuarial Research Clearing House 1993, VOL. 1.

Description: This session is from the 1976 Washington D.C. Meeting and discusses qualitative and quantitative models for forecasting. The session is a general teaching session and not for experts.

Description: The objective of this paper from the Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1964, Vol. 16, Pt. 1, No. 44 AB, is to illustrate some of the alternative approaches to making approximate probability statements about the present value of life annuities assuming a specified distribution of the random variable, time until death, and a fixed interest rate.